Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina … | Polymarket Scam 2026

Name: UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
Start: 2026-07-29T22:00:38.000Z
End: 2026-08-02T03:59:59.999Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	100%	0%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Place a position →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	100%	0%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Place a position →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Place a position →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Place a position →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic	100%
Fight won by submission?	100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds	100%
Fight won by KO/TKO?	1%
Fight to Go the Distance?	0%
Luciano to win by KO/TKO?	0%
Spasic to win by KO/TKO?	0%
O/U 1.5 Rounds	0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds	0%

Market context

The UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market will resolve to "Stephanie Luciano" if Stephanie Luciano is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marina Spasic at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)".

Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic 100% Other 0%

The prediction market consensus for this UFC match sits at 100% YES — the aggregated signal of thousands of traders on the Polymarket order book. Unlike bookmaker odds, this price contains no house margin.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?: Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?: Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?: The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Oliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporterand

Emma RobertsFinancial Journalist

Trade UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic… on Polymarket Scam?

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic… on Polymarket Scam?

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