Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 90% |
| Ends in Daytime | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 10% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2? | 10% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this BetBoom Team v Team Liquid “More Markets” contract at **0% YES** on USDC collateral on Polygon, so the market is effectively saying there is no chance that any of the specified side-conditions resolve true from the available setup. The settlement clock runs to 2026-07-31T22:00:00Z, and on the user-facing side this is a conditional-tokens market rather than a direct bet on the match winner, which matters because the contract can hinge on the exact wording of the embedded sub-markets rather than the series result alone.
That 0% is best read against a head-to-head that has swung both ways across recent meetings. Team Liquid beat BetBoom 1-0 at BLAST Slam VII on 27 May 2026, while BetBoom had taken a 1-0 win in the same broader period’s matchup history, and the teams also split earlier 2026 series in longer formats.[2][3] Over the longer sample, head-to-head records remain relatively close, with one history page listing BetBoom ahead on total wins and maps, while another shows Team Liquid competitive on recent form; for a “More Markets” contract, that means traders usually need to inspect the exact prop rather than extrapolate from the series favourite.[4][5]
For catalysts, the main watchpoints are late schedule changes, lineup confirmation, and whether the series is actually played in the stated best-of-two slot, since tournament organisers sometimes alter start times or match order close to the day.[1][6] Any official bracket update, roster substitution, or format clarification can move a low-probability side market sharply because Polymarket resolves from on-chain outcomes, not from general expectations about team strength. Recent match pages also show these teams have met repeatedly in 2026, so traders will likely focus on the freshest result context and the tournament’s published schedule rather than legacy reputation alone.[2][3]
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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