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UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Luis Hernandez (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Comparison of odds and platforms for "UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Luis Hernandez (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Scam?.

Fight won by submission? 100% Ends before Round 2? 100% Ends before Round 3? 100% Hernandez in Round 1 100% Volume: $177K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Luis Hernandez (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight won by submission?100%
Ends before Round 2?100%
Ends before Round 3?100%
Hernandez in Round 1100%
Sedriques Dumas vs. Luis Hernandez0%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Fight won by KO/TKO?0%
Dumas to win by KO/TKO?0%
Hernandez to win by KO/TKO?0%
O/U 0.5 Rounds0%
O/U 1.5 Rounds0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%
Fight won by decision?0%
Dumas in Round 10%
Dumas in Round 20%
Dumas in Round 30%
Hernandez in Round 20%
Hernandez in Round 30%
Decision or Draw0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ufc fight night: sedriques dumas vs. luis hernandez (light heavyweight, main card) stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Sedriques Dumas" if Sedriques Dumas is officially declared the winner of the fight against Luis Hernandez at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, s…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight won by submission? at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Luis Hernandez (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)".

Fight won by submission? 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $177K.

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Luis Hernandez (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Luis Hernandez … on Polymarket Scam?

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Related Topics

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