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UFC Fight Night: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli (Bantamweight, Main Card)

How the prediction-market book is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli (Bantamweight, Main Card)" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli 100% Ends before Round 2? 60% Ends before Round 3? 51% O/U 0.5 Rounds 50% Volume: $573K Liquidity: $54K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli100%
Ends before Round 2?60%
Ends before Round 3?51%
O/U 0.5 Rounds50%
O/U 1.5 Rounds46%
O/U 2.5 Rounds45%
Akylbek Uulu in Round 131%
Fight to Go the Distance?11%
Fight won by decision?10%
Akylbek Uulu in Round 210%
Akylbek Uulu in Round 310%
Osmanli in Round 110%
Decision or Draw10%
Fight won by KO/TKO?1%
Akylbek Uulu to win by KO/TKO?1%
Fight won by submission?1%
Osmanli in Round 21%
Osmanli in Round 31%
Osmanli to win by KO/TKO?0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of ufc fight night: ilimbek akylbek uulu vs. mehemmedeli osmanli (bantamweight, main card). Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve to "Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu" if Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mehemmedeli Osmanli at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli (Bantamweight, Main Card)".

Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $573K.

Methodology

We track UFC Fight Night: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli (Bantamweight, Main Card) across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Related Topics

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