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UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)

Five-platform snapshot of "UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 88% O/U 1.5 Rounds 70% O/U 2.5 Rounds 57% Fight to Go the Distance? 51% Volume: $62K Liquidity: $188K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
88% 12% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
88% 12% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds88%
O/U 1.5 Rounds70%
O/U 2.5 Rounds57%
Fight to Go the Distance?51%
Fight won by KO/TKO?38%
Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad37%
Grad to win by KO/TKO?21%
Buzukja to win by KO/TKO?18%
Fight won by submission?12%

Market context

Market consensus: 88% chance of ufc fight night: dennis buzukja vs. bogdan grad (featherweight, prelims). Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve to "Dennis Buzukja" if Dennis Buzukja is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bogdan Grad at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 88% for "UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 88% Other 12%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $62K.

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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