Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 49ers O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 49ers O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 49ers O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 49ers O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 49ers O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 49ers O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Seahawks O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Seahawks O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Seahawks O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Seahawks O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 99% |
| O/U 44.5 | 99% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 99% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 99% |
| O/U 46.5 | 98% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 97% |
| O/U 42.5 | 97% |
| O/U 47.5 | 95% |
| O/U 49.5 | 95% |
| O/U 48.5 | 95% |
| O/U 50.5 | 89% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 88% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 86% |
| O/U 51.5 | 85% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 84% |
| O/U 52.5 | 84% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 82% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 81% |
| O/U 53.5 | 78% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 78% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 77% |
| O/U 54.5 | 72% |
| O/U 55.5 | 71% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 68% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 68% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 67% |
| O/U 56.5 | 67% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 65% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 64% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 61% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| O/U 57.5 | 60% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 59% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 6.5 | 57% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 56% |
| O/U 58.5 | 56% |
| Seahawks O/U 16.5 | 55% |
| O/U 59.5 | 54% |
| Seahawks O/U 19.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 6.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 53% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 49ers O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 49ers O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 49ers O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 49ers O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 49ers O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: 49ers by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: 49ers by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: 49ers by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: 49ers by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: 49ers by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| 49ers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 49ers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 60.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| Spread -21.5 | 46% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 16.5 | 44% |
| 2H Moneyline | 44% |
| O/U 61.5 | 43% |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | 42% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| O/U 62.5 | 40% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 38% |
| Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| O/U 63.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 34% |
| Spread -1.5 | 33% |
| O/U 64.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 30% |
| Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| Spread -5.5 | 29% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 29% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| O/U 65.5 | 24% |
| Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 67.5 | 20% |
| Spread -4.5 | 18% |
| Spread -8.5 | 17% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| Spread -5.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -8.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 6% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 6% |
| Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 5% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 5% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 4% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 4% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 4% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 3% |
| Spread -13.5 | 2% |
| Spread -14.5 | 2% |
| Spread -16.5 | 2% |
| Spread -17.5 | 2% |
| Spread -16.5 | 2% |
| Spread -17.5 | 2% |
| Spread -19.5 | 2% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 2% |
| Spread -19.5 | 1% |
| Spread -20.5 | 1% |
| Spread -20.5 | 1% |
| Spread -21.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 1% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to 49ers vs. seahawks. In the upcoming NFL football game between 49ers and Seahawks, scheduled for October 11 at 4:25PM ET: This market will resolve to "49ers" if 49ers win the game. This market will resolve to "Seahawks" i…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $4.9M.
Methodology
This page reviews 49ers vs. Seahawks across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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