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San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Five-platform snapshot of "San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

NRFI 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 61% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 51% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 51% Volume: $316K Liquidity: $282K Closes: 11 Jul 2026
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San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.561%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.551%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.551%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
Extra Innings50%
O/U 9.550%
O/U 6.547%
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers46%
O/U 7.534%
Spread -1.533%
Spread -1.531%
O/U 8.525%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers. In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for July 3 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $316K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

Sports