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Argentina vs. Cabo Verde - Player Props

Live odds for "Argentina vs. Cabo Verde - Player Props" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shots 89% Lautaro Martínez: 2+ shots 77% Lionel Messi: 1+ goals 66% Julián Álvarez: 2+ shots 66% Volume: $237K Liquidity: $850K Closes: 3 Jul 2026
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Argentina vs. Cabo Verde - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
89% 11% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
89% 11% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shots89%
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ shots77%
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals66%
Julián Álvarez: 2+ shots66%
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists65%
Dailon Livramento: 1+ shots56%
Lautaro Martínez: 3+ shots54%
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals50%
Gilson Benchimol: 2+ shots on target50%
Lionel Messi: 3+ shots on target50%
Juan Musso: 3+ saves50%
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals + assists50%
Lionel Messi: 1+ shots on target49%
Julián Álvarez: 1+ shots49%
Dailon Livramento: 2+ shots on target48%
Gilson Benchimol: 1+ shots on target48%
José Manuel López: 1+ shots on target48%
José Manuel López: 2+ shots on target48%
José Manuel López: 3+ shots on target48%
José Manuel López: 4+ shots on target48%
Jovane Cabral: 2+ shots on target48%
Jovane Cabral: 3+ shots on target48%
Julián Álvarez: 1+ shots on target48%
Julián Álvarez: 3+ shots on target48%
Julián Álvarez: 4+ shots on target48%
Lautaro Martínez: 4+ shots on target48%
Lionel Messi: 4+ shots on target48%
Nuno Jóia: 1+ shots on target48%
Nuno Jóia: 2+ shots on target48%
Juan Musso: 2+ saves48%
Juan Musso: 4+ saves48%
Juan Musso: 5+ saves48%
Vózinha: 2+ saves48%
Vózinha: 3+ saves48%
Vózinha: 4+ saves48%
Dailon Livramento: 2+ goals + assists48%
Dailon Livramento: 3+ goals + assists48%
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goals + assists48%
Julián Álvarez: 3+ goals + assists48%
Julián Álvarez: 4+ goals + assists48%
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goals + assists48%
Lautaro Martínez: 3+ goals + assists48%
Lautaro Martínez: 4+ goals + assists48%
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals + assists48%
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals + assists48%
Lionel Messi: 4+ goals + assists48%
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shots on target44%
Lautaro Martínez: 4+ shots38%
Lionel Messi: 1+ assists38%
Lionel Messi: 2+ shots on target38%
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals35%
Julián Álvarez: 3+ shots34%
Jovane Cabral: 1+ shots32%
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals31%
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals + assists31%
Vózinha: 5+ saves28%
Julián Álvarez: 2+ shots on target27%
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ shots on target27%
Julián Álvarez: 4+ shots25%
Gilson Benchimol: 1+ shots24%
Julián Álvarez: 5+ shots22%
Nuno Jóia: 1+ shots21%
Dailon Livramento: 4+ goals + assists20%
Jovane Cabral: 2+ shots19%
Lautaro Martínez: 5+ shots19%
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ assists18%
Dailon Livramento: 2+ shots16%
Julián Álvarez: 1+ assists16%
Dailon Livramento: 1+ shots on target16%
Gilson Benchimol: 2+ shots14%
José Manuel López: 1+ goals12%
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goals12%
Nuno Jóia: 2+ shots12%
Lionel Messi: 2+ assists12%
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals11%
Lautaro Martínez: 3+ shots on target11%
Dailon Livramento: 1+ goals + assists11%
José Manuel López: 2+ goals10%
Gilson Benchimol: 3+ shots10%
Dailon Livramento: 2+ assists10%
Jovane Cabral: 1+ shots on target10%
Dailon Livramento: 3+ shots8%
Jovane Cabral: 3+ shots8%
Jovane Cabral: 4+ shots8%
Nuno Jóia: 3+ shots8%
Nuno Jóia: 4+ shots8%
Dailon Livramento: 1+ goals7%
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goals7%
Gilson Benchimol: 4+ shots7%
Jovane Cabral: 5+ shots6%
Gilson Benchimol: 1+ goals5%
José Manuel López: 3+ goals5%
Jovane Cabral: 1+ goals5%
Dailon Livramento: 1+ assists5%
Nuno Jóia: 1+ goals4%
Dailon Livramento: 4+ shots4%
Nuno Jóia: 2+ goals3%
Julián Álvarez: 2+ assists3%
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ assists3%
Julián Álvarez: 3+ goals2%
Lautaro Martínez: 3+ goals2%
Dailon Livramento: 2+ goals1%
Gilson Benchimol: 2+ goals1%
Jovane Cabral: 2+ goals1%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, argentina vs. cabo verde - player props stands at 89% likelihood according to current market consensus. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Argentina and Cabo Verde, scheduled for July 3 at 6:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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