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Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels

Five-platform snapshot of "Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

NRFI 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 86% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 75% Spread -1.5 61% Volume: $547K Liquidity: $778K Closes: 4 Aug 2026
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Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.586%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.575%
Spread -1.561%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.560%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.559%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.556%
O/U 7.555%
O/U 10.554%
Spread -2.549%
O/U 8.546%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.542%
O/U 9.535%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels24%
Spread -1.513%
Extra Innings11%
Spread -2.59%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.58%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to houston astros vs. los angeles angels. In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for July 27 at 9:38PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $547K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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