UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket prices this UFC Flyweight main-card contract at **0% YES** today, on a market that settles only on the official UFC winner for Kyoji Horiguchi versus Manel Kape and pays out in **USDC** through **Polygon** conditional tokens. That near-zero reading is consistent with the bout already being decided in the cage: UFC’s own video page says Kape beat Horiguchi by **TKO at 2:42 of round three** on 20 June 2026.[1]

For traders, the useful frame is how quickly these fight-result markets reprice once the result is officially posted and mirrored across reliable sports desks. CBS Sports also reported Kape as the winner by third-round TKO, while ESPN’s fight coverage recorded the same outcome, which is the kind of event confirmation that leaves little room for a competing settlement path unless the UFC later overturns the result.[3][4] In comparable UFC markets, the key driver is not pre-fight sentiment but whether the official result survives commission and promotion review.

The remaining catalyst is administrative rather than sporting: the market will only resolve once the UFC’s official result is available to the platform’s resolver, and any unusual post-fight change such as a no contest or contest overturn would matter far more than the scheduled card itself. The UFC event listing confirms the fight was scheduled for 20 June 2026 at UFC Fight Night in Las Vegas, so the practical question for a Polymarket user is whether the on-chain position simply waits for settlement, not whether the fight still needs to be fought.[6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card) across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.