Tunisia vs. Japan - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this **“More Markets”** contract at **4% YES** today, which means traders are assigning only a small chance that additional listed markets will be added around Tunisia v Japan before the settlement window closes. The underlying match is Tunisia v Japan, a FIFA World Cup group-stage game scheduled for **21 June 2026 at 04:00 UTC** in Monterrey, and on Polymarket the bet settles through USDC on Polygon via conditional tokens rather than on the football result itself.[5][1]

A 4% quote is best read as a niche platform-expansion bet, not a view on who wins on the pitch. In comparable World Cup listings, the market usually stays thin unless Polymarket or a partner opens a clear slate of related contracts, so the price can sit low until there is evidence of a broader menu rather than a single match page. Ticketing and fixture pages already show the game locked in on the World Cup calendar, which reduces ambiguity over the fixture itself but leaves open whether Polymarket will create more derivatives before kick-off.[5][1][2]

For traders, the main catalysts are platform-side announcements, any late schedule or market-format changes, and whether adjacent group-stage markets are rolled out in the same window. The most relevant external reference point is FIFA’s match-centre listing, which confirms the official kick-off time and venue, while contemporary ticketing pages indicate the event is already in circulation with limited resale inventory; neither implies new Polymarket markets, but both help anchor timing if the site refreshes its sports book close to matchday.[5][2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.