CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Los Chankas defeated Sport Boys 1–0 in the Peru Liga 1 Clausura opener on 19 July at Estadio Los Chankas, a result that has already settled the underlying fixture. On Polymarket, the “More Markets” contract for this match trades at 0% YES today, reflecting that the event window closed and the outcome is known. The contract uses USDC on Polygon, where conditional tokens resolve automatically once the settlement oracle confirms the final score, locking in the 1–0 result rather than leaving traders exposed to future uncertainty.

Historically, Peruvian Liga 1 “More Markets” contracts for completed fixtures resolve at 0% or 100% within hours of the final whistle, as the on-chain oracle pulls the official score from league data feeds. In comparable cases from the 2025 Clausura, contracts tied to matches that ended 1–0 or 2–1 settled at 100% YES for the home-win market and 0% for away-win or draw markets, with no post-match volatility once the result was confirmed. The current 0% probability aligns with this pattern, indicating the market has fully priced the known outcome.

Traders should monitor the oracle update timestamp on Polygon and any late amendments to the official match report from the Liga 1 federation, though such changes are rare once the result is published. The primary catalyst is the finalisation of the settlement data feed, which typically occurs within 30 minutes of the match end. No further announcements, schedules, or dependencies remain relevant, as the fixture is complete and the score is confirmed by ESPN, 365scores, and El Comercio [1][3][5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.