Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse | 0% |
| Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Ignacio Buse has already defeated Vit Kopriva in their Generali Open first-round match at Kitzbühel, securing a 7-5, 7-6, 6-1 victory on Monday, 20 July 2026 [1]. The prediction market titled “Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse” now carries a 0% implied probability for Kopriva advancing, reflecting the on-chain consensus that the outcome is settled. Traders viewing this contract on Polymarket see the USDC price pinned at zero on Polygon, with conditional tokens for “Vit Kopriva” effectively worthless given the match result is confirmed.
Historically, prediction markets that resolve after a match is completed but before official settlement often retain near-zero pricing for the losing player, as seen in prior ATP events where late score updates did not shift odds meaningfully. In comparable cases, such as the 2024 Hamburg Open first-round retires, markets resolved within hours of result confirmation, locking in the winner’s share at 100% and the loser’s at 0%, with no post-match volatility unless a formal appeal was lodged.
Traders should monitor the ATP’s official match report and any potential protest filings from Kopriva’s team, though no such action is currently reported. The settlement window ends 27 July 2026, but with Buse’s win confirmed via live ticker and preview sources, the catalyst for price movement is absent unless the tournament committee overturns the result [2]. For now, the on-chain mechanics reflect a closed event: USDC liquidity remains static, and conditional token volumes for Kopriva are negligible.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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