Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The Houston Astros defeated the Detroit Tigers 2–1 in their Thursday night MLB clash at Comerica Park, a result that already resolves the "Houston Astros" prediction market to a 100% YES outcome. This game, scheduled for 6:40PM ET on June 25, has concluded with the Astros securing the win, meaning the conditional tokens on Polygon will settle immediately in favour of the Astros side, returning USDC to holders without further delay.

Historically, 100% YES markets in sports prediction platforms like Polymarket only materialise after the underlying event has definitively concluded, as seen in prior MLB games where odds collapsed once final scores were confirmed by governing bodies. In this case, the 2–1 victory mirrors the under trend that has favoured the Astros against the Tigers this season (2–1 record), reinforcing how past matchups frame current probabilities once results are official [3][5].

Traders should monitor the official final statistics portal for any post-game adjustments, though the ESPN-confirmed score leaves no ambiguity [5]. With the settlement window ending 2026-07-02, the only dependency is the absence of a game cancellation or tie, both of which would trigger a 50–50 split; however, the completed game ensures full resolution. No further announcements are needed, as the outcome is already locked in on-chain [2][5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.