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Türkiye vs. United States

Five-platform snapshot of "Türkiye vs. United States" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

25% YES 75% NO Volume: $373K Liquidity: $875K Closes: 26 Jun 2026
Trade on Polymarket Scam? →
Türkiye vs. United States

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket Scam? Pick
polygram.ink
25% 75% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket Scam? →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
25% 75% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket Scam? →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket Scam? →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket Scam? →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket Scam? →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.

Active sub-markets

Draw25% YES76% NO
Türkiye36% YES65% NO
United States41% YES60% NO

Market context

Türkiye vs. United States — current market-implied probability: 25%. This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Thursday, June 25, 2026 between Türkiye and United States.

Methodology

This page reviews Türkiye vs. United States across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??
Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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