Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Chicago Cubs defeated the New York Mets in their June 25, 2026 MLB game at Citi Field, securing a decisive victory that ended a four-game series sweep. This result confirms the 100% YES crowd-implied probability on the prediction market, as the Cubs won the match outright, resolving the contract to "Chicago Cubs" with no ambiguity. The game concluded in the 10th inning, with the Cubs winning at -109 odds, meaning a $109 wager returned $209 total[2].

Historically, such 100% probabilities on Polymarket conditional tokens only materialise after the underlying event has been fully settled and verified by the governing body, typically MLB. Comparable cases show that when a team sweeps a series and wins the final game decisively, the market locks in immediately, with USDC payouts on the Polygon network executing within minutes of the official final stats release[3]. The Cubs’ balanced roster and in-season trends heavily favoured them, mirroring past scenarios where a sweep confirmed the outcome before the settlement window closed[1].

Traders should monitor the official MLB final statistics portal for the 10th-inning confirmation, as this is the primary resolution source for the contract. Any postponement or cancellation would keep the market open, but the Cubs’ win in the 10th inning has already triggered the resolution[2]. Recent coverage from Fox Sports confirms the sweep and the 10th-inning victory, providing the necessary on-chain data for conditional token settlement[2]. No further announcements are needed, as the event is complete and the market has resolved.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.