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Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets

Live odds for "Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Spread -1.5 66% O/U 5.5 58% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 50% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 50% Volume: $339K Liquidity: $458K Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 66% 34% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 66% 34% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -1.566%
O/U 5.558%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
Extra Innings50%
Spread -2.550%
O/U 6.547%
O/U 7.536%
O/U 8.526%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets19%
O/U 9.518%
Spread -1.511%
Spread -2.56%
NRFI0%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 3.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, atlanta braves vs. new york mets stands at 66% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets, scheduled for July 29 at 1:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win t…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -1.5 at 66% for "Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets".

Spread -1.5 66% Other 34%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $339K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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