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Charlotte FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Charlotte FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Charlotte FC (-1.5) 100% Charlotte FC (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $89K Liquidity: $425K Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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Charlotte FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Charlotte FC (-1.5)100%
Charlotte FC (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Charlotte FC O/U 0.5100%
Charlotte FC O/U 1.5100%
Charlotte FC O/U 2.5100%
Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)0%
Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Pumas de la UNAM O/U 0.50%
Pumas de la UNAM O/U 1.50%
Pumas de la UNAM O/U 2.50%
Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Pumas de la UNAM 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Pumas de la UNAM 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Pumas de la UNAM 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Pumas de la UNAM 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Polymarket is pricing the **Charlotte FC vs Pumas de la UNAM - More Markets** contract at **100% YES** today, which means the crowd is treating the listed market outcome as fully resolved in favour of YES on the platform’s USDC-backed, Polygon-based conditional-token rails. The real-world fixture is Charlotte FC versus Pumas UNAM in the Leagues Cup, scheduled for 4 August at 8:00 PM ET, so the on-chain price reflects the market’s view of the specific “more markets” condition rather than the football result in the abstract.[1][5]

For context, there is no meaningful head-to-head history to anchor this matchup, because public H2H pages show no previous Charlotte–Pumas meetings.[3][8][11] That pushes traders towards form and competition context instead: Charlotte’s recent league run has been mixed but competitive, while Pumas arrived off a strong 5-1 win at Juárez in Liga MX Apertura play, which is the sort of cross-league contrast that can leave ancillary markets thinly traded until line-ups and competition rules are confirmed.[12][3]

The main catalysts are practical rather than speculative: official line-ups, any late injury or rotation news, and whether the Leagues Cup schedule proceeds exactly as listed on the match hubs, since most “more markets” contracts settle off the existence and completeness of designated sub-markets rather than the scoreline itself.[2][4][5] On Polymarket, that means USDC liquidity and conditional token settlement can move quickly if the organiser publishes a revised market slate, if kick-off timing changes, or if a related listing is added or removed before the settlement window closes on 5 August 2026.[5]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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