Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
56% | 44% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
56% | 44% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 167.5 | 56% |
| Janelle Salaün: Points O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| O/U 168.5 | 52% |
| Spread -11.5 | 51% |
| O/U 169.5 | 49% |
| Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 18.5 | 48% |
| Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Spread -12.5 | 47% |
| María Conde: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Spread -13.5 | 44% |
| Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 6.5 | 44% |
| Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| Janelle Salaün: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Janelle Salaün: Points O/U 13.5 | 34% |
| Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| María Conde: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Kayla Thornton: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Kaitlyn Chen: Assists O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Veronica Burton: Points O/U 12.5 | 28% |
| Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 8.5 | 26% |
| María Conde: Assists O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 17.5 | 21% |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries | 14% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 56% probability to toronto tempo vs. golden state valkyries. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 4 at 10:00PM ET: If the Toronto Tempo win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo". If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Go…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $166K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries on Polymarket Scam?
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