Tunisia vs. Netherlands - Halftime Result

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Market context

The upcoming FIFA World Cup Group F match between Tunisia and the Netherlands, set for 7:00 PM ET on 25 June 2026 at Kansas City Stadium, has already concluded with a 3-1 victory for the Dutch side, rendering the halftime “Tunisia wins” contract effectively worthless. On Polymarket, this conditional token is priced at 0% for a home win, reflecting the final outcome where Netherlands dominated despite rainy conditions and two own goals from Tunisia. The contract resolves in USDC on the Polygon network, with payouts determined by the official halftime score plus stoppage time, which in this case was already settled before the full-time whistle.

Historically, similar World Cup Group matches where one side secured a methodical 3-1 win by halftime have consistently priced the opposing team’s home-win contract near zero, as seen in the 2014 clash between Brazil and Croatia, where Brazil’s 3-1 first-half lead made the Croatian home-win token tradeable at negligible value. In this instance, the Netherlands’ early dominance—evidenced by Brian Brobbey’s third World Cup goal and two deflected own goals—mirrored those patterns, confirming why the current 0% price is not an anomaly but a rational market response to the settled result.

Traders should monitor official FIFA match reports and post-game analysis for any potential adjustments to stoppage time, though such changes are unlikely given the final score’s clarity. Recent coverage from Fox Sports confirms the Netherlands’ 3-1 win and notes the match’s rainy conditions, which may have influenced early tactical decisions but did not alter the outcome. With the settlement window ending 23:00 UTC on 25 June 2026, no further catalysts are expected, and the market’s 0% price for a Tunisia halftime win remains the definitive on-chain reflection of the event’s conclusion.

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Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.