Japan vs. Sweden - Total Corners

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Japan and Sweden have already secured their knockout stage berths after drawing 1-1 in their final Group F clash at the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Dallas[3]. Both nations finished with enough points to progress regardless of this specific outcome, though a win would have allowed either to claim top spot in Group F contingent on Tunisia’s simultaneous match against the Netherlands[2]. The market currently prices this contract at a 100% YES probability for “Total Corners” exceeding the threshold, reflecting the on-chain certainty that the match has concluded and the corner stats are finalised[5].

Historical corner data for both sides suggests a lean under typical thresholds: Japan recorded fewer than 10.5 corners in eight of their last ten matches, while Sweden did so in four of five[6]. In this specific fixture, Sweden accumulated four or more corners by the 90th minute, with the final tally recorded as JPN1-1SWE2ND[5]. Comparable group-stage World Cup matches between these teams in prior years (e.g., 1995, 2011) show no consistent head-to-head corner dominance, reinforcing that the current 100% pricing stems from the match’s completion rather than predictive modelling[9].

For traders, the only relevant catalyst is the official confirmation of the match’s final corner count on the FIFA match centre, which resolves the conditional token payout in USDC on Polygon[4]. Since the game has already ended, no further announcements, schedule changes, or dependencies apply—resolution is automatic once the stats are locked[5]. Recent coverage by CBS Sports HQ noted Sweden’s keys to progression but did not highlight corner volume as a decisive factor, aligning with the market’s static, post-event certainty[1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.