Japan vs. Sweden - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The upcoming FIFA World Cup Group F match between Japan and Sweden, scheduled for 7:00 PM ET on 25 June 2026 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, is the real-world event driving this contract. On Polymarket, the USDC-denominated conditional token for an exact score outcome currently trades at a 6% implied probability for the "YES" side, reflecting a tight market view on a specific result despite Japan’s favouritism in traditional book odds.

Historically, similar World Cup group-stage fixtures between Asian and European sides often produce narrow margins, with correct scores like 2-1 or 1-0 dominating settlement. Bookmakers currently price Japan as -119 favourites with a 54% win chance, while the 2-1 correct score is offered at +700, suggesting that a 6% market price for a specific exact score aligns with the lower tail of probable outcomes rather than the most likely result[2].

Traders should monitor final squad announcements and any late tactical shifts, as both teams are fighting for knockout progression with high stakes. Recent previews note Sweden’s potential to score via Alexander Isak, while Japan’s quality across all lines is expected to prevail, making line-up confirmations a key catalyst[5]. The match’s resolution depends strictly on 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties, so any injury-time goals will directly impact settlement[7].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.