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Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli

Five-platform snapshot of "Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli 79% Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 8.5 76% Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 9.5 74% Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 Winner 68% Volume: $113K Liquidity: $401K Closes: 13 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli79%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 8.576%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 9.574%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 Winner68%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 3 Winner68%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 Winner67%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set Handicap +/-1.561%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Total Sets: O/U 3.560%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 36.554%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 9.552%
Completed Match51%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 3 O/U 10.551%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 4 O/U 10.551%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 3 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 3 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 38.547%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 8.541%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 40.540%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set Handicap +/-2.534%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 10.528%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 10.528%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Total Sets: O/U 4.527%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 79% probability to wimbledon atp: alex de minaur vs flavio cobolli. This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Flavio Cobolli in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur'…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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