Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyoming vs. San Jose State | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 100% |
| Wyoming Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 100% |
| Wyoming Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Wyoming Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Wyoming Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 91% |
| San Jose State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 91% |
| San Jose State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 91% |
| San Jose State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 91% |
| Wyoming vs. San Jose State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 91% |
| Wyoming vs. San Jose State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming vs. San Jose State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Wyoming vs. San Jose State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming vs. San Jose State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming vs. San Jose State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 10% |
| San Jose State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 10% |
| San Jose State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 10% |
| Wyoming Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Wyoming Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| San Jose State O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Wyoming O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| O/U 41.5 | 0% |
| O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| O/U 45.5 | 0% |
| O/U 47.5 | 0% |
| O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Wyoming O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Wyoming O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Wyoming O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Wyoming O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Wyoming O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Wyoming 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Wyoming 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Wyoming 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Wyoming 2H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Wyoming 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Wyoming 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| San Jose State 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
The Wyoming vs. San Jose State prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Wyoming and San Jose State, scheduled for October 9 at 9:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wyoming" if Wyoming win the game. This market will resolve …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $787K.
Methodology
We track Wyoming vs. San Jose State across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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