Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Navy 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Navy 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 94% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 90% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 90% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 90% |
| O/U 45.5 | 86% |
| O/U 35.5 | 83% |
| O/U 37.5 | 83% |
| O/U 41.5 | 81% |
| O/U 49.5 | 81% |
| O/U 43.5 | 80% |
| O/U 47.5 | 77% |
| O/U 51.5 | 73% |
| O/U 53.5 | 68% |
| O/U 55.5 | 61% |
| O/U 57.5 | 56% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| Navy vs. UTSA | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 51% |
| Navy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Navy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 51% |
| UTSA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 51% |
| UTSA Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Navy O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Navy O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Navy O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Navy O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Navy 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| UTSA 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| UTSA 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UTSA 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Navy 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Navy 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Navy 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Navy vs. UTSA: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Navy vs. UTSA: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Navy vs. UTSA: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Navy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Navy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UTSA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UTSA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Navy Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Navy Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Navy Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UTSA Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Navy vs. UTSA: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Navy vs. UTSA: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Navy O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Navy O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Navy O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| Navy vs. UTSA: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| O/U 59.5 | 46% |
| O/U 61.5 | 45% |
| Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Spread -13.5 | 38% |
| Spread -5.5 | 37% |
| O/U 63.5 | 37% |
| Spread -6.5 | 36% |
| Spread -14.5 | 36% |
| O/U 65.5 | 35% |
| Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| O/U 67.5 | 32% |
| Spread -8.5 | 31% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| O/U 71.5 | 29% |
| Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| O/U 73.5 | 27% |
| Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| Spread -13.5 | 24% |
| Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| O/U 69.5 | 23% |
| Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| O/U 75.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
Market context
Navy vs. UTSA — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Navy and UTSA, scheduled for October 17 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Navy" if Navy win the game. This market will resolve to "UTSA" if UTSA …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $167K.
Methodology
This page reviews Navy vs. UTSA across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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