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UNLV vs. Air Force

How the prediction-market book is pricing "UNLV vs. Air Force" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 35.5 65% O/U 37.5 56% Spread -1.5 55% 1Q Spread -0.5 55% Volume: $721K Liquidity: $566K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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UNLV vs. Air Force

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 35.565%
O/U 37.556%
Spread -1.555%
1Q Spread -0.555%
Spread -2.553%
1Q Spread -1.553%
O/U 39.552%
4Q O/U 19.551%
Air Force O/U 26.551%
UNLV 2H O/U 15.551%
Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 21.551%
3Q Spread -1.551%
4Q Spread -3.551%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -20.550%
1H O/U 21.550%
1H O/U 24.550%
1H O/U 33.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
2Q O/U 7.550%
2Q O/U 10.550%
2Q O/U 13.550%
2Q O/U 16.550%
2Q O/U 19.550%
3Q O/U 7.550%
3Q O/U 10.550%
3Q O/U 13.550%
3Q O/U 16.550%
3Q O/U 19.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
UNLV O/U 26.550%
UNLV O/U 29.550%
UNLV O/U 32.550%
Air Force O/U 29.550%
Air Force O/U 32.550%
Air Force O/U 35.550%
UNLV 1H O/U 11.550%
UNLV 1H O/U 13.550%
UNLV 1H O/U 15.550%
Air Force 1H O/U 12.550%
Air Force 1H O/U 14.550%
Air Force 1H O/U 16.550%
UNLV 2H O/U 11.550%
UNLV 2H O/U 13.550%
Air Force 2H O/U 12.550%
Air Force 2H O/U 14.550%
Air Force 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q250%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
UNLV vs. Air Force: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
UNLV vs. Air Force: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
UNLV vs. Air Force: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
UNLV Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
UNLV Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
UNLV Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
UNLV Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
UNLV Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
UNLV Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
UNLV Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
UNLV Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
UNLV Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
UNLV Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
UNLV Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
UNLV Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
UNLV 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
UNLV 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Air Force 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Air Force 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
UNLV Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
UNLV Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
UNLV Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
UNLV Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
UNLV Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
UNLV Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
UNLV Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
UNLV Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
UNLV vs. Air Force: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
UNLV vs. Air Force: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
UNLV vs. Air Force: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
1H Spread -1.550%
1H Spread -0.550%
1H Spread -0.550%
1H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Spread -2.550%
2Q Spread -3.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Air Force O/U 2.550%
UNLV O/U 2.550%
1H Moneyline50%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
UNLV O/U 3.550%
Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.549%
Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 14.549%
Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 19.549%
UNLV Total First Downs: O/U 19.549%
1Q O/U 7.548%
1Q O/U 10.548%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q148%
1Q Spread -3.548%
1Q Spread -1.548%
1Q Spread -0.548%
1Q Spread -3.548%
1Q Moneyline48%
UNLV O/U 20.546%
O/U 41.545%
Spread -3.544%
Spread -4.542%
UNLV vs. Air Force41%
O/U 43.540%
Spread -1.539%
Spread -5.539%
Air Force O/U 23.539%
Spread -0.537%
Spread -6.537%
1H Spread -3.537%
Spread -2.536%
O/U 45.535%
UNLV O/U 23.535%
Spread -8.534%
Spread -3.531%
Spread -7.531%
O/U 47.530%
O/U 53.528%
Spread -4.527%
1H Spread -3.527%
Spread -5.525%
O/U 55.525%
Spread -10.524%
O/U 49.524%
Spread -8.523%
Spread -6.523%
O/U 59.523%
O/U 65.523%
O/U 71.523%
O/U 67.522%
O/U 75.522%
O/U 61.521%
O/U 73.521%
O/U 51.520%
Spread -7.518%
Spread -13.518%
Spread -14.516%
Spread -10.514%
Spread -16.514%
Spread -17.513%
O/U 57.512%
Spread -13.511%
Spread -14.59%
Spread -17.57%
Spread -16.57%
Spread -20.56%
1H O/U 27.56%
1H O/U 30.56%
O/U 63.55%
O/U 69.53%
1Q O/U 13.51%
1Q O/U 16.51%
1Q O/U 19.51%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 65% probability to unlv vs. air force. In the upcoming college football game between UNLV and Air Force, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "UNLV" if UNLV win the game. This market will resolve to "Air Force…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 35.5 at 65% for "UNLV vs. Air Force".

O/U 35.5 65% Other 35%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $721K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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