Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 90% |
| O/U 37.5 | 86% |
| Memphis O/U 20.5 | 84% |
| O/U 39.5 | 81% |
| O/U 41.5 | 80% |
| O/U 43.5 | 77% |
| Memphis O/U 23.5 | 77% |
| Memphis vs. Tulane | 71% |
| O/U 45.5 | 71% |
| Spread -0.5 | 70% |
| Memphis O/U 32.5 | 70% |
| Spread -1.5 | 69% |
| Spread -2.5 | 68% |
| O/U 47.5 | 68% |
| 1H Moneyline | 66% |
| O/U 49.5 | 64% |
| Spread -3.5 | 62% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 62% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 62% |
| O/U 51.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| Spread -4.5 | 57% |
| Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| Memphis O/U 29.5 | 56% |
| O/U 53.5 | 54% |
| Memphis 1H O/U 11.5 | 54% |
| Memphis 1H O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| Tulane O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Memphis O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Tulane O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Tulane O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Tulane O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Tulane O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Tulane O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Tulane 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Tulane 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tulane 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Tulane 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Tulane 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tulane 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Memphis vs. Tulane: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Memphis vs. Tulane: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Memphis vs. Tulane: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tulane 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tulane 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Memphis Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Memphis vs. Tulane: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Memphis vs. Tulane: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Memphis vs. Tulane: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| O/U 55.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| Spread -16.5 | 45% |
| Spread -20.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 45% |
| Spread -7.5 | 44% |
| O/U 57.5 | 44% |
| Spread -8.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 42% |
| Spread -10.5 | 40% |
| O/U 59.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 36% |
| Spread -13.5 | 34% |
| O/U 61.5 | 34% |
| Spread -14.5 | 30% |
| Spread -0.5 | 30% |
| Spread -16.5 | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| O/U 63.5 | 28% |
| Spread -17.5 | 26% |
| Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| O/U 65.5 | 25% |
| Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| O/U 67.5 | 22% |
| Spread -20.5 | 21% |
| Spread -4.5 | 20% |
| Spread -5.5 | 19% |
| O/U 71.5 | 19% |
| O/U 69.5 | 18% |
| Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| O/U 73.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| O/U 75.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
Market context
Market consensus: 90% chance of memphis vs. tulane. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Memphis and Tulane, scheduled for October 16 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Memphis" if Memphis win the game. This market …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $141K.
Methodology
We track Memphis vs. Tulane across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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