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Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 98% O/U 1.5 91% Eintracht Frankfurt O/U 0.5 91% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 88% Volume: $195K Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 16 Oct 2026
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Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
98% 2% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
98% 2% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.598%
O/U 1.591%
Eintracht Frankfurt O/U 0.591%
2nd Half O/U 0.588%
1st Half O/U 0.582%
1. FC Köln O/U 0.579%
O/U 2.575%
Both Teams to Score73%
Eintracht Frankfurt 2nd Half O/U 0.571%
Eintracht Frankfurt O/U 1.567%
Eintracht Frankfurt 1st Half O/U 0.564%
2nd Half O/U 1.563%
1. FC Köln 2nd Half O/U 0.558%
O/U 3.554%
1st Half O/U 1.551%
1. FC Köln 1st Half O/U 0.550%
Eintracht Frankfurt 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
1. FC Köln 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Eintracht Frankfurt (-5.5)49%
1. FC Köln (-5.5)49%
1. FC Köln 1st Half O/U 3.548%
1. FC Köln (-4.5)47%
1. FC Köln O/U 5.547%
1. FC Köln 1st Half O/U 2.547%
1. FC Köln O/U 1.546%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half43%
Eintracht Frankfurt O/U 2.539%
Eintracht Frankfurt 2nd Half O/U 1.536%
2nd Half O/U 2.535%
O/U 4.534%
Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)33%
Both Teams to Score in First Half32%
1. FC Köln 1st Half O/U 1.528%
1. FC Köln 2nd Half O/U 2.528%
Eintracht Frankfurt 1st Half O/U 1.525%
1st Half O/U 2.524%
1. FC Köln 2nd Half O/U 1.522%
1. FC Köln O/U 2.520%
Eintracht Frankfurt O/U 3.519%
O/U 5.518%
Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)17%
2nd Half O/U 3.517%
Eintracht Frankfurt 1st Half O/U 2.513%
Eintracht Frankfurt 2nd Half O/U 2.513%
1. FC Köln (-1.5)11%
O/U 6.59%
1st Half O/U 3.59%
Eintracht Frankfurt (-3.5)8%
Eintracht Frankfurt O/U 4.57%
2nd Half O/U 4.57%
1. FC Köln O/U 3.56%
Eintracht Frankfurt 1st Half O/U 3.55%
1. FC Köln (-2.5)4%
O/U 7.54%
Eintracht Frankfurt (-4.5)3%
Eintracht Frankfurt O/U 5.53%
1. FC Köln (-3.5)2%
1st Half O/U 4.52%
1. FC Köln O/U 4.52%
O/U 8.51%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 98% YES probability for Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln - More Markets. More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 16 at 2:30 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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