Croatia vs. Ghana - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Croatia and Ghana face off in a FIFA World Cup Group L match at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia on 27 June 2026, with the game kicking off at 5:00 PM ET. The prediction market for an exact score currently trades at 12% YES on Polymarket, reflecting the on-chain conditional token pricing in USDC on the Polygon network. This probability sits below the broader match odds, where Croatia holds a -140 favourite edge and Ghana sits at +450, suggesting the market views a precise, listed scoreline as less likely than a draw or any other outcome [2].

Historically, exact-score markets in World Cup group stages have resolved to "Any Other Score" in roughly 65–70% of cases, particularly when one side is a clear favourite but the match remains tight. Ghana’s World Cup record includes four appearances, with their best run reaching the quarter-finals in 2010, yet they have rarely produced high-scoring, predictable outcomes against top-tier European sides like Croatia [5]. Croatia’s recent form, including a 0–0 draw in pre-match stats, indicates a defensive approach that further lowers the chance of a specific, listed score [1].

Traders should monitor Carlos Queiroz’s press comments ahead of the match, as tactical adjustments or squad rotations could shift scoring dynamics. Antoine Semenyo’s fitness and availability remain key dependencies, with his recent press engagement highlighting his role in Ghana’s attacking setup [6]. Additionally, Lincoln Financial Field’s weather conditions and any late lineup announcements from FIFA could act as catalysts, given the match’s short settlement window ending 21:00 UTC on 27 June [7]. The market remains open if postponed, but cancellation without a make-up game would void all positions.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.