Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
57% | 43% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
57% | 43% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Bilibili Gaming | 57% |
| Anyone's Legend | 19% |
| Top Esports | 12% |
| JD Gaming | 7% |
| Invictus Gaming | 6% |
| Team WE | 3% |
| ThunderTalk Gaming | 1% |
| EDward Gaming | 0% |
| LGD Gaming | 0% |
| LNG Esports | 0% |
| Ninjas in Pyjamas | 0% |
| Oh My God | 0% |
| Royal Never Give Up | 0% |
| Ultra Prime | 0% |
| Weibo Gaming | 0% |
| Other | 0% |
| Team A | 0% |
| Team B | 0% |
| Team C | 0% |
| Team D | 0% |
| Team E | 0% |
| Team F | 0% |
| Team G | 0% |
| Team H | 0% |
| Team I | 0% |
| Team J | 0% |
| Team K | 0% |
| Team L | 0% |
| Team M | 0% |
| Team N | 0% |
| Team O | 0% |
| Team P | 0% |
| Team Q | 0% |
| Team R | 0% |
| Team S | 0% |
| Team T | 0% |
| Team U | 0% |
| Team V | 0% |
| Team W | 0% |
| Team X | 0% |
| Team Y | 0% |
| Team Z | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 57% probability to lpl 2026 season winner. This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Pro League (LPL) 2026 season. If the 2026 LPL season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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