Japan vs. Sweden - Halftime Result

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Market context

On 25 June 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, Japan and Sweden meet in a tightly contested FIFA World Cup Group F match where the first 45 minutes ended goalless. The prediction market for the halftime result currently shows a 100% YES probability for a draw, reflecting the on-chain reality that USDC settlements on Polygon’s conditional tokens have already priced in this outcome before stoppage time concludes.

Historically, Group F matches between these sides have frequently produced 0-0 halftimes; the most recent encounter saw both teams score only in the second half, with the first 45 minutes ending blank[2][6]. This pattern aligns with prior World Cup Group F games where defensive caution dominated early play, making a draw the statistically near-certain halftime result[3].

Traders should monitor pre-match lineup announcements and stoppage time declarations, as any delay could shift the conditional token settlement window. Recent coverage confirms the first half concluded 0-0, with Japan creating better chances but facing inspired Swedish defending[6]. No further catalysts are expected, as the draw outcome is already locked in by on-chain mechanics.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.