France vs. Iraq - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing France v Iraq at **3% YES** for an exact-score contract, and that sits on top of a USDC market settled through Polygon conditional tokens rather than any traditional bookmaker ticket. In practice, the contract resolves only on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time, so extra time and penalties do not count; if the final score is outside the listed set, it falls into *Any Other Score*.

A 3% price implies the crowd sees a very narrow scoreline outcome, which is consistent with exact-score markets in lopsided World Cup fixtures. Bookmakers tracked by FOX Sports and ESPN both have France as a heavy favourite, with France around -1200 to -700 on the moneyline and Iraq around +3000 to +2950, while the total is centred near 3.5 goals.[1][3] That kind of pricing usually concentrates probability into a few France win scores — most commonly 1-0, 2-0, 2-1 or 3-0 — and leaves a long tail on anything else, which is exactly where exact-score contracts tend to misprice if a game turns open or chaotic.[1][3]

For traders, the main catalysts are simple but important: team news, starting line-ups, and any late change to kick-off or match completion. FIFA’s match centre lists the fixture as France v Iraq in Group I, while ESPN’s live match page shows the pre-match trading line and totals alongside the scheduled 21:00Z start.[4][3] Because settlement depends on the official final score at the end of regulation only, red cards, early substitutions, or an unexpectedly high-tempo first half can matter more here than the outright winner; if the match is delayed or suspended, the market stays open until completion under the contract rules.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.