Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing Execration at **10%** on this USDC-settled, Polygon-based conditional token contract, which makes the market lean heavily towards Mentality Monster despite the fact that the loser-bracket quarter-final is the only thing that matters for resolution. In practice, holders are trading not just the map score but the chance that the scheduled best-of-three is actually played and completed before the seven-day fallback window closes.

The low price is easier to read against the pre-match consensus than against any direct head-to-head history, because there does not appear to be one. Execration’s recent form in public match trackers is mixed, with Strafe noting just two wins from their last five and placing them around #18 in its Dota 2 rankings, while its community vote still gave Execration a wide edge over Mentality Monster. That split is typical of qualifier markets: small roster or form signals can move sentiment quickly, but they do not always translate into a clean on-chain price when the bracket path and match timing remain uncertain.[1][2][7]

For traders, the main catalysts are confirmation that the series is played on schedule, whether the lower-bracket bracket path is unchanged, and any late organiser delay that could push settlement into the 50-50 fallback if no winner is determined within seven days. Live schedule listings have already shown the fixture under different timestamps, which is the kind of operational detail that can matter more than team narrative on a contract that resolves strictly to the named winner, cancellation, tie, or delay rules.[2][4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.