Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Power Rangers | 0% Yellow Submarine |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% Power Rangers | 100% Yellow Submarine |
| Match Winner | 0% Power Rangers | 100% Yellow Submarine |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5) | 0% Yellow Submarine | 100% Power Rangers |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
The Dota 2 Lower Bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Power Rangers and Yellow Submarine is currently underway at The International 2026 Europe Regional Qualifier, with the live score showing a 0-0 tie in Map 2 of the BO3 series[1][3]. On Polymarket, this contract trades at 100% YES for Power Rangers, implying the market believes they will win the match outright, despite the game still being in progress on-chain[1]. The USDC settlement on Polygon uses conditional tokens to lock in this probability, reflecting a crowd consensus that has not yet adjusted for the ongoing live uncertainty.
Historically, similar 100% probabilities in regional qualifier matches have often collapsed when the series reaches Map 2 or 3, as seen in past TI qualifiers where lower-ranked teams forced extra maps before losing[6][7]. These cases frame the current price as potentially overconfident, since a 0-0 tie in Map 2 suggests the match is far from decided, and conditional token markets typically correct when live data contradicts the initial settlement assumption. Traders should note that past cancellations or ties in lower brackets have resolved to 50-50, but no such event has occurred here yet.
Key catalysts include the finalisation of Map 2 and the subsequent Map 3 schedule, which depends on the current live outcome[1][2]. Traders must monitor official tournament announcements for any delays beyond the seven-day settlement window, as well as real-time score updates on Sofascore or GosuGamers to confirm the winner[3][4]. Recent Liquipedia data confirms Yellow Submarine’s Russian origin and their formation for TI 2015, adding context to their competitive resilience in this qualifier[8]. No external news source has reported a cancellation, so the market remains driven by live in-game mechanics.
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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