Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 50% Game Hunters | 50% Vexa |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% Game Hunters | 0% Vexa |
| Match Winner | 100% Game Hunters | 0% Vexa |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: GH (-1.5) vs Vexa (+1.5) | 0% Game Hunters | 100% Vexa |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
Market context
Game Hunters face VEXA in a Best of 3 Counter-Strike 2 match at the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, scheduled for 4:00 PM local time on 27 June 2026. The contract currently trades at 50% on Polymarket, implying a perfectly balanced outcome despite Game Hunters holding a slight world ranking edge (159 vs 175) and a 94.7% community vote share on Strafe predicting their victory[1][2].
Historical precedents in B-Tier Valve Tier 2 events show that community vote shares often diverge sharply from on-chain prices when regional volatility is high, as seen in prior CCT South American Series where lower-ranked teams secured unexpected wins despite overwhelming public backing for opponents[3]. The 50% price point here likely reflects uncertainty over map selection and the fact that VEXA, though ranked lower, has demonstrated resilience in recent Group Stage fixtures, mirroring cases where underdogs neutralised perceived advantages in BO3 formats.
Traders should monitor the official CCT South America Series 3 map pool announcement and any live score updates from GosuGamers, which will confirm whether the match proceeds as scheduled or encounters delays[4]. The settlement window closes at 22:30 UTC on 27 June 2026, and any cancellation or tie resolves the contract to 50-50, meaning real-time score feeds on USDC/Polygon conditional tokens are critical for timing exits before the deadline.
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??
- Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
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