Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

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Active sub-markets

Market context

AM Gaming faces Eternal Fire in the Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 of the Super DraculaN Group A today, a Best-of-3 Counter-Strike 2 match scheduled for 18:00 UTC. On Polymarket, this contract trades at 100% YES for AM Gaming, implying the market believes a win is virtually certain before the first round is even played. The USDC liquidity sits on the Polygon network, where conditional tokens lock the outcome to the winner of the match, with no payout if the game is cancelled or ends in a tie.

Historically, 100% pricing in esports prediction markets often precedes a mismatch where one team has dominated recent form or the opponent is severely underprepared. In the NODWIN Clutch Series and similar B-Tier events, teams like Eternal Fire have occasionally lost early rounds due to roster instability, yet AM Gaming’s recent consistency suggests a clean sweep is the expected outcome[2][6]. Such absolute confidence rarely survives a single map loss, making this a high-risk entry if the probability dips below 95%.

Traders should monitor the official team schedules and any last-minute roster announcements before the match begins, as delays or cancellations would trigger the 50-50 settlement clause. The match is set for 24 June 2026 at 18:00 UTC, and any deviation beyond seven days without a winner resolves the market to an even split[1][3]. Check Liquipedia for the latest roster updates, as a single player change could shift the implied probability significantly before the first map starts[6].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.