Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 0% Acend | 100% ECHO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% Acend | 0% ECHO |
| Match Winner | 100% Acend | 0% ECHO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
The Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between Acend and ECHO is set to begin today at 11:00 AM ET in the Super DraculaN Playoffs, with Acend entering as the higher-ranked side at world number 59 against ECHO’s number 66 [1][2]. On Polymarket, this contract currently trades at 0% YES for Acend, implying the crowd believes an Acend win is virtually impossible despite their ranking advantage and the Bo3 format [3]. The on-chain mechanics utilise USDC on the Polygon network, where conditional tokens lock in payouts only if the match resolves to a specific winner, with cancellation or ties triggering a 50-50 split [3].
Historically, similar 0% pricing in esports prediction markets has occurred when a team suffers a pre-match roster collapse or forfeits before play begins, as seen in recent Liquipedia records where matches were voided due to disqualification [3]. In the Super DraculaN Season 1 playoffs, single-elimination brackets mean one loss ends a team’s run, and past data shows that lower-ranked teams like ECHO have occasionally overturned higher-ranked opponents when the higher side faces internal instability [3][5]. The 0% price may reflect unconfirmed news about Acend’s roster, given their recent announcement as Bulgaria’s #1 but lack of further detail on player availability [5].
Traders should monitor official AcendClub and ECHO social channels for any last-minute roster updates or match postponements, as the settlement window ends 2026-06-28T00:15:00Z, leaving little time for delay resolutions [2][5]. A key catalyst is the map pool announcement, which remains unknown and could significantly impact ECHO’s chances if it favours their strategic strengths [1]. Recent coverage from Dust2 highlights that map selection is critical in Bo3 matches, and any delay beyond seven days without a winner would resolve the market to 50-50, adding volatility to the current pricing [1].
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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