Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between 9INE and GamerLegion in the Super DraculaN Group A is scheduled for today, 24 June 2026, at 11:00 AM ET, yet the Polymarket contract currently prices a 9INE victory at 0% probability. On-chain, this conditional token sits on the Polygon network with USDC settlement, reflecting a market consensus that 9INE has effectively no chance of winning this Best-of-Three series, despite the match being live or imminent.

Historically, such extreme zero-probability pricing in CS2 prediction markets often precedes either a pre-match forfeit, a roster disqualification, or a severe technical cancellation before the first map begins, rather than a genuine competitive loss. Comparable cases from the 2025 Digital Crusade season show that when a team is priced at 0% with a BO3 format, the resolution frequently defaults to the 50-50 tie clause if the match is cancelled or ends in a forfeit, as seen in the 2025 Stake Ranked anomalies where roster issues nullified the competitive bracket entirely.

Traders must monitor the official tournament dashboard for immediate announcements regarding roster eligibility, server connectivity, or match start confirmations, as any delay beyond the scheduled window triggers the 50-50 resolution clause. Recent coverage from Liquipedia confirms GamerLegion’s active roster status, but the 73% implied win probability for GamerLegion on Kalshi suggests the market expects a decisive victory, making the 0% 9INE price a potential indicator of a pre-match administrative failure rather than a competitive outcome[4]. Watch for the official match start signal on the Digital Crusade platform, as a failure to commence within 24 hours will likely force the market to resolve as a tie.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.