Bitcoin price on June 24?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bitcoin’s final noon ET close on 24 June 2026 is the real-world event this market resolves to, and today Polymarket prices the “Yes” outcome at 0%, implying the crowd expects the price to fall below the lower bracket threshold. This mirrors the June 1 2026 market, where the frontrunner “70,000–72,000” settled at 100% while the “<68,000” outcome held 0%, showing how conditional tokens on Polygon (settled in USDC) can lock in extreme probabilities when technical support levels break decisively [1].

Historically, when BTC tests local support near $60,580 without reversal signals, the hourly chart remains bearish and a drop toward $60,000 is likely, with further correction to $56,500 if that level breaks [2]. Traders should watch the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision scheduled for this week, as monetary policy shifts often trigger sharp crypto volatility, and monitor Binance’s 1-minute candle close data directly, since the market resolves strictly on that source [2][4]. Recent analysis from Binance confirms no midterm reversal signals yet, reinforcing the bearish trajectory until the week ends [2].

The on-chain mechanics mean each conditional token position is settled in USDC on Polygon, with no manual intervention required once the Binance close is recorded. If the price lands between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher range, but with current bearish momentum and a 4.4% 24-hour decline, the 0% probability reflects a high confidence in a sub-bracket close [2][3]. No moralising is needed: the data shows a clear path downward, and the market’s pricing aligns with that technical reality.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Bitcoin price on June 24? on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.