Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13?

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Market context

On 13 June 2026, the Hong Kong Observatory will record the day's peak temperature in Celsius, rounded to one decimal place. The market currently prices all temperature ranges at 0% implied probability on Polygon, suggesting either insufficient liquidity or a technical settlement delay. Traders are staking USDC against conditional tokens that resolve based on the Observatory's published "Absolute Daily Max" figure from their Daily Extract dataset, available once meteorological data is finalised and released.

Historical June temperatures in Hong Kong cluster between 28°C and 34°C, with extreme heat events occasionally pushing above 35°C. The 1967 record high of 36.1°C remains the benchmark for exceptional June conditions. Recent years show typical mid-range maxima around 31–32°C during the early monsoon transition period. The current 0% pricing across all ranges reflects the market's inability to settle until official Observatory data is published; this is a timing constraint rather than a forecast signal.

Traders should monitor the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal forecasts and any issued heat warnings in early June 2026. The South China Sea monsoon onset typically influences temperature patterns during this window, with southwesterly flows either moderating heat or allowing high-pressure systems to drive peaks. The Observatory publishes daily extracts with a lag of several days; settlement cannot occur until the "Absolute Daily Max" for 13 June appears in their official climate records. Any tropical cyclone activity or unusual pressure systems in the preceding week would be the primary catalyst affecting the eventual resolution range.

Methodology

This page reviews Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

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What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.