Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this contract at **0% YES**, which implies the market is currently treating a first-day view count outcome in any non-lowest bracket as effectively impossible. The contract settles on the next MrBeast Gaming upload’s first 24 hours of YouTube views, with the result taken from the channel and the payoff handled through Polymarket’s USDC-denominated conditional tokens on Polygon, so the live price is really a position on both the upload happening and the opening-day audience it attracts.
For context, MrBeast Gaming still presents as a large but comparatively scheduled YouTube property: the channel page says it publishes “every single Saturday at noon eastern time”, while the main MrBeast ecosystem has remained highly active through Beast Games season 2, which Amazon says is streaming weekly through 25 February after launching on 7 January 2026.[9][1][8] Historically, the core MrBeast channel has produced tens of millions of views on major uploads, and a recent MrBeast Gaming upload, “Press This Button To Win $250,000”, has 22 million views on YouTube, showing that the gaming brand can still clear a very large first-day audience when a video lands.[5] For a user reading this market, the key distinction is that the question is not whether the channel is popular, but whether the *next* upload is live, timely, and big enough to escape the lowest bracket.
The near-term catalyst is simply the upload schedule: if MrBeast Gaming misses the expected cadence or delays beyond the market’s deadline, the contract resolves to the lowest range bracket by rule. Traders should also watch for cross-channel promotion, because MrBeast’s broader releases, sponsorship pushes, or Beast Games-related activity can absorb attention from the gaming audience, while a clean Saturday noon ET post would be the most relevant trigger for first-day views.[9][1] In practical terms, anyone holding YES is effectively betting on a fresh upload arriving with enough initial reach to beat the market’s implied zero, while NO holders are leaning on the absence of a post or a softer-than-usual opening day.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??
- Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade # of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1? on Polymarket Scam?
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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