Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Alina Charaeva

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket’s contract is pricing **Susan Bandecchi vs Alina Charaeva at 100% YES**, so the market is effectively treating Susan Bandecchi’s side as a certainty on the current order book. On Polymarket, that YES token settles against the actual match outcome on the Polygon network using USDC and conditional tokens, while a no-contest, tie, or delay beyond seven days from the scheduled date pushes the market to 50-50 under the rules given here.

The main historical anchor is the head-to-head and live match record already available to traders. Tennis Stats says Bandecchi has won more of the previous meetings, but live match listings for today’s Figueira Da Foz quarter-final show Alina Charaeva leading Bandecchi 1-2, with Charaeva listed ahead in WTA ranking at 128 versus Bandecchi at 173 on Flashscore. That combination matters for reading a 100% price: it can reflect stale liquidity, a crossed book, or a market that has already moved on information that is not yet fully reflected in the displayed probability.

For traders, the key catalysts are straightforward: whether the match is officially completed, whether the scoreline has already advanced one player under the tournament feed, and whether any postponement changes the settlement path inside the seven-day window. Tennis Majors and LiveScore both list the pairing as the Figueira Da Foz Ladies Open quarter-final, while Yahoo Sports shows a final score card for the match, which suggests the decisive issue is no longer pre-match uncertainty but confirmation of who advanced and whether Polymarket’s settlement rules are triggered cleanly by the official result.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.