Nottingham Open: Ann Li vs Kimberly Birrell

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Ann Li and Kimberly Birrell are scheduled to meet in the opening round of the Nottingham Open on 16 June 2026. The 0% YES pricing on Polymarket reflects either a technical issue with the conditional token pair or genuine uncertainty about whether this match will materialise at all. Settlement hinges on match completion by 23 June; any cancellation, tie, or seven-day delay without resolution triggers a 50-50 split of USDC collateral across both sides.

Historical precedent suggests Nottingham Open fixtures rarely fail to execute once draw sheets are published. The WTA 250 event has maintained consistent scheduling since returning to the calendar in 2015, with weather delays at the grass-court venue typically resolved within 48 hours rather than extending beyond the seven-day threshold. Li, ranked around 60th globally, and Birrell, a former top-100 player, both maintain sufficient ranking status to warrant inclusion in qualifying or main-draw assignments. Neither player has recent injury flags that would suggest withdrawal risk at this stage of the season.

Traders should monitor WTA injury reports and entry list confirmations in the week preceding 16 June, particularly given the compressed grass-court season. Any announcement of Li or Birrell withdrawing for medical reasons would immediately shift the market towards 50-50 resolution. Weather forecasts for Nottinghamshire in mid-June carry marginal relevance given the event's indoor backup facilities. The conditional token mechanics on Polygon mean positions settle only once match outcome data reaches the oracle; early trading volume remains thin at 0% YES, suggesting limited conviction either direction.

Methodology

This page reviews Nottingham Open: Ann Li vs Kimberly Birrell across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.