Mallorca Championships: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Martin Landaluce

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this contract at **0% YES** on USDC- and Polygon-based conditional tokens, which leaves the market treating Jan-Lennard Struff’s path as effectively finished unless the match is officially recorded as played and won by him. The settlement language matters here: if the contest is not completed, is cancelled, or is pushed beyond seven days without a winner, the market can still resolve 50-50 rather than to either side.

Struff’s matchup with Martin Landaluce is a fairly standard grass-court comparison between an established ATP-level player and a younger opponent still building results on the surface. A useful comparable is how early-round grass markets often reprice sharply once draw position, fitness, or tournament timing becomes clearer; pre-match predictions can be wrong on grass because serve-dominance and short sample volatility make outcomes more fragile than on slower courts. Sportskeeda’s preview noted Landaluce had reached the second round in Stuttgart earlier in the grass swing but had not yet translated that into a win there[1]. Tennis TV and live-score listings indicate the match was scheduled in Mallorca on 22 June at centre court, which is the key operational fact for settlement rather than broader reputation alone[2][3].

For traders, the main catalysts are simple: whether the ATP order of play holds, whether either player is withdrawn, and whether the match starts or is officially completed inside the market’s seven-day window. Mallorca’s ATP 250 grass event is the relevant dependency, and sportsbook listings had the contest on 22 June, which means any late schedule change, retirement, walkover, or weather interruption can affect the token’s final outcome more than pre-event form alone[4][7].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.