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Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko

Five-platform snapshot of "Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko 100% Completed Match 100% Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 21.5 100% Volume: $109K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko100%
Completed Match100%
Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 21.5100%
Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 1 Winner100%
Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 2 Winner100%
Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 22.5100%
Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Jurij Rodionov has already defeated Vitaliy Sachko 2–0 in their Generali Open qualification match at Kitzbuhel on Sunday, 19 July 2026, confirming the 100% YES crowd-implied probability for Rodionov advancing [1]. On Polymarket, this contract trades as a settled outcome in USDC on Polygon, where conditional tokens for “Jurij Rodionov” now hold full redemption value while the “Vitaliy Sachko” share is worthless, reflecting the match’s completion and the absence of any cancellation or delay triggers.

Historically, tennis qualification markets with 100% pricing post-match resolution behave identically to this case: once the official game report confirms a winner, conditional tokens lock in their payout ratio, and no further catalysts can alter settlement. Comparable cases from ATP qualifiers in 2024–2025 show that when a match finishes within the scheduled window, Polymarket resolves within hours of the official result, with no 50–50 fallback unless the tournament cancels the entire round.

Traders should monitor the Generali Open’s official draw update for Rodionov’s next-round opponent, as the settlement window closes 2026-07-26T11:30:00Z regardless of subsequent matches. No new announcements are expected before resolution, given the match’s completion, and the only dependency is the tournament’s confirmation of the result on its website, which 365Scores has already verified [1]. The on-chain mechanics ensure automatic USDC payout to holders of the winning conditional token once the oracle confirms the outcome.

Sources: 1

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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