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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz

Live odds for "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Completed Match 50% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5 50% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 21.5 50% Volume: $266K Liquidity: $288K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 21.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 22.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 23.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 Winner49%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Total Sets: O/U 2.544%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz42%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 Winner42%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set Handicap +/-1.537%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, mubadala citi dc open: brandon nakashima vs taylor fritz stands at 50% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Taylor Fritz in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 6:30PM ET. This market w…

Methodology

This page reviews Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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