Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
75% | 25% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
75% | 25% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 75% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas | 69% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas Set 1 Winner | 62% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas Match O/U 21.5 | 55% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas Set 2 Winner | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas Match O/U 22.5 | 48% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas Match O/U 23.5 | 43% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 42% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 26% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 75% probability to swedish open: jesper de jong vs vilius gaubas. This market refers to the tennis match between Jesper de Jong and Vilius Gaubas in the Swedish Open, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jesper de Jong' …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas on Polymarket Scam?
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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