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National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo

Five-platform snapshot of "National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo 57% National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 55% National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner 54% National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 23.5 51% Volume: $91K Liquidity: $285K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
57% 43% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
57% 43% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo57%
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.555%
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner54%
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 23.551%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.550%
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.550%
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 22.550%
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 10.550%
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 2.543%
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 10.540%
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner37%
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.533%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 57% probability to national bank open: hubert hurkacz vs alejandro tabilo. This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Alejandro Tabilo in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Huber…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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