Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
64% | 36% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
64% | 36% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
| Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax | 64% Thomas Faurel | 36% Florent Bax |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax Set 1 Winner | 0% Faurel | 100% Bax |
| Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
The conditional token for Faurel advancing against Bax in Lyon trades at 56 cents on the dollar across Polygon liquidity pools, implying the French player holds a slight edge in what appears a relatively tight matchup. The settlement window closes 15 June 2026, allowing a week's buffer beyond the originally scheduled 8 June fixture at 4:00 AM ET. Current USDC depth suggests modest trading volume, typical for lower-ranked ATP Challenger matches where retail interest remains concentrated on major tour events.
Faurel and Bax occupy similar career trajectories within the Challenger circuit, making direct historical precedent limited. Both players have shown inconsistent form across surfaces, though Faurel's recent results on clay courts—the Lyon surface—provide marginal context for the 56% pricing. Comparable matchups between players ranked in this bracket historically resolve within tight margins, with home-nation advantages and recent match fitness often determining outcomes more reliably than raw ranking differentials.
Traders should monitor official ATP Challenger scheduling confirmations and any late withdrawals, as Challenger draws frequently experience last-minute changes. Surface conditions at the Parc de la Tête d'Or venue and weather forecasts in the week preceding 8 June merit attention, particularly given clay's sensitivity to moisture. Recent form updates from both players' preceding tournaments will likely shift conditional token prices in the days immediately before settlement, whilst any injury announcements would trigger immediate repricing across Polygon liquidity pools.
Methodology
This page reviews Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??
- Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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