Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Alejandro Moro Canas

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The market is pricing **0% YES**, so Polymarket is effectively saying Francisco Comesana’s advance is being treated as near-impossible on the contract now, with the position settled in USDC on Polygon via conditional tokens. In plain tennis terms, this is the Wimbledon qualification match between Francisco Comesana and Alejandro Moro Canas, and the market resolves to Comesana only if he advances; if the match is not played or is left without a winner beyond the rule window, it goes to **50-50**.

That zero bid sits alongside live pricing elsewhere that has already moved hard against Comesana: Robinhood’s related Wimbledon qualification contracts showed Alejandro Moro Canas at **99¢** and Comesana at **1¢** for a set-winner market, while result pages and sportsbook listings indicate the match was scheduled for 22 June and ended up being decided in Moro Canas’s favour. TennisMajors lists the head-to-head as **1-2** with Moro Canas winning the match, and SportyTrader records the finished score as **1-2**. Those comparable markets matter because Polymarket contracts on the same event chain tend to reprice sharply once a live result or credible scoreline feeds through to traders.

A trader watching this contract mainly needs confirmation risk, not match-up speculation: the key catalysts are official score reporting, any late scheduling changes at Wimbledon qualifying, and whether the match actually counted as played under the market rules. FanDuel listed the fixture to start at **8:00am ET**, showing how tightly time-sensitive these tennis markets are, while Polymarket’s own settlement mechanics mean a walkover, cancellation, or unresolved delay can still push the outcome to the fallback **50-50** rather than a straight win/loss.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.